NVIDIA’s grip is slipping

OpenAI's $10 billion deal with Cerebras highlights its push for faster inference, challenging NVIDIA's long-held dominance in AI compute.

The infrastructure wars are here. For a decade, NVIDIA owned AI compute. Now the cracks are showing—not in training, but in inference, where products actually live. We broke down why OpenAI signed a $10 billion deal with Cerebras while NVIDIA locked up Groq’s technology in a $20 billion licensing agreement. TrendForce confirmed the tension: OpenAI engineers want faster inference for Codex, and Cerebras claims up to 21x lower latency than NVIDIA’s Blackwell B200. The $30 billion question: who owns the next decade of AI compute?

Elon Musk thinks the answer is orbit. We analyzed the $1.25 trillion SpaceX-xAI merger—the largest in history—and the audacious plan to launch up to 1 million orbital data center satellites. Musk claims space-based AI compute will be cheaper than terrestrial within three years. The economics are questionable. The FCC filing is very real. And if he’s right, the entire infrastructure debate changes.

While the hardware wars rage, the model makers are drawing different battle lines. Anthropic just bought Super Bowl ads mocking ChatGPT’s upcoming advertising: “Claude will remain ad-free.” That’s an $8 million bet that users will pay to avoid sponsored responses—right as OpenAI confirms ads are coming to free and Go tiers. The infrastructure question is who controls the chips. The business model question is who captures the value. Both wars are heating up.

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That’s Wednesday. Billions moving, battle lines drawn.

— The PulseMark Team

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